01 Jul 2011
The Low Down
There have been reports out there that Major League Baseball is considering realigning some teams and divisions. Here's the current setup of the League:
American League
East |
Central |
West |
Baltimore Orioles |
Cleveland Indians |
Los Angeles Angels |
Boston Red Sox |
Chicago White Sox |
Oakland A's |
New York Yankees |
Detroit Tigers |
Seattle Mariners |
Tampa Bay Rays |
Kansas City Royals |
Texas Rangers |
Toronto Blue Jays |
Minnesota Twins |
|
National League
East |
Central |
West |
Atlanta Braves |
Cincinnati Reds |
Arizona Diamondbacks |
Florida Marlins |
Chicago Cubs |
Colorado Rockies |
New York Mets |
Houston Astros |
Los Angeles Dodgers |
Philadelphia Phillies |
Milwaukee Brewers |
San Diego Padres |
Washington Nationals |
Pittsburgh Pirates |
San Francisco Giants |
|
St. Louis Cardinals |
|
You'll note that MLB has 30 teams. Fourteen are in the American League, 16 are in the National League. That means you have less of a chance to reach the World Series if you're in the National League. Some might see that as unfair but it's not because the National League stinks.
Regardless, there might be an opportunity to make things seem more fair, or to make travel easier for everyone. Can this be done while keeping some historically linked teams together? Let's take a looksee. For the visual among you, here's where each team is located (image from CBSSports.com).
Options for Realignment
1) Only 2 divisions, 15 teams each
According to a report from Reuters, one of the options being kicked around is making each league 15 teams and having the top 5 from each league make the playoffs. Currently only 4 teams from each league make the playoffs (the winner of each division and one wildcard). Other professional sports leagues have a higher percentage of teams making the playoffs, which is perhaps one reason to increase the number of baseball playoff teams.
If baseball wants to give teams with less revenue and theoretically less likelihood of producing a winning team an "equal" chance of making the playoffs and thus winning the World Series, then you shouldn't get rid of divisions. The best five teams in the American League right now are the NY Yankees, the Boston Red Sox, the Tampa Bay Rays... and two others. So the top 5 is now (and likely would be) dominated by teams from the east. (And if the schedule were balanced so that teams played each other an equal number of times, maybe Toronto would be included in that top 5 right now. I haven't done the analysis to be able to say that definitively.) The way it stands now, a subpar team from the West, the Texas Rangers for example, could get into the playoffs and with a little luck make the World Series. They're only competing against 3 other teams to get in. Realign, though, and 11 or 12 teams would compete for 1 or possibly 2 spots.
Enh.
Note: this realignment scenario isn't so bad for the current National league because who is good from year to year varies so much. That's what happens when the teams stink.
2) Same 6 divisions, just move 1 team to the American League
This seems awesomely simple, and would leave things in tact the most. I've read from multiple articles that the Houston Astros would most likely make the switch. They could move to the American League West, and thus Texas would get an in-state rival.
Milwaukee could move, too, since they were originally in the American League, but location-wise it doesn't make much sense.
Moving Houston seems like a good idea.
3) Some other choice
If I were any kind of writer, I'd be touting my own well-researched opinion here. Since I'm not, here's my opinion only. It'd be neat to go back to 2 big divisions within each League - an East and a West. But only in my mind. To avoid having a good 3rd place team miss the playoffs when a worse 2nd place team gets in, you'd have to increase the number of teams that make the playoffs. But increasing the number of playoff teams would either water down the playoffs or create the need for 1st round byes, which are unfair. Cold teams lose their momentum.
Instead of 2 divisions, you could rewrite all 6 current divisions. Check out these divisions based on location only:
American League
East |
Leftovers |
Midwest |
Baltimore Orioles |
Cleveland Indians |
Chicago Cubs |
Boston Red Sox |
Detroit Tigers |
Chicago White Sox |
New York Yankees |
Pittsburgh Pirates |
Cincinnati Reds |
New York Mets |
Toronto Blue Jays |
Milwaukee Brewers |
Philadelphia Phillies |
Washington Nationals |
Minnesota Twins |
National League
South |
Leftovers |
West |
Atlanta Braves |
Arizona Diamondbacks |
Los Angeles Angels |
Florida Marlins |
Colorado Rockies |
Los Angeles Dodgers |
Houston Astros |
Kansas City Royals |
Oakland A's |
Tampa Bay Rays |
San Diego Padres |
San Francisco Giants |
Texas Rangers |
St. Louis Cardinals |
Seattle Mariners |
You could even fiddle with changing the league and division names. Might as well if we're going to throw 100+ years of history down the crapper.
Final Recommendation
After pondering the possibilities and all the implications (sorta kinda not really), my final recommendation is to just move Houston to the American League and leave everything else the same, including the playoffs. But given baseball's commissioner (Bud Selig) has a history of screwing up simple decisions, and that an entire bevy of MLB management people have to justify their own salaries and all the meetings they attend, look for a major shakeup in divisions, leagues, and playoffs.